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Japan’s Used Vehicle Export Market in February 2026

  • Jun 22
  • 11 min read


Tanzania and Ireland Surge, While Malaysia and Bangladesh Pull Back

Data analysis: Monthly calculations, rate-of-change rankings, and year-on-year comparisonsUsed vehicle export consultant: Import regulations, payment risk, logistics, and vehicle selectionEditorial and market analysis: Political, economic, and local-market interpretation

Policy and regulatory information reviewed as of June 22, 2026

Important Note on the Data

The first numeric column in the supplied dataset appears to represent the January–February cumulative total, rather than January-only exports.

For this analysis, January exports were therefore calculated as follows:

January volume = January–February cumulative volume − February volume

Subsequent trade-statistics revisions may produce small differences from the figures used here. This article applies the supplied dataset consistently so that all month-on-month comparisons remain comparable. Current e-Stat-based tables also show that historical monthly figures may be revised after initial publication.

Top Two Gainers and Bottom Two Decliners

The rankings below are based on the percentage change from January to February.

Ranking

Market

January

February

Change in Units

Month-on-Month

No. 1 gainer

Tanzania

8,542

18,711

+10,169

+119.0%

No. 2 gainer

Ireland

1,167

2,174

+1,007

+86.3%

No. 1 decliner

Malaysia

8,105

3,220

−4,885

−60.3%

No. 2 decliner

Bangladesh

2,147

1,504

−643

−29.9%


Across the 30 destinations in the dataset, total exports increased from 107,704 units in January to 132,528 units in February.

That represents an increase of:

  • 24,824 units

  • 23.0% month on month

  • Growth in 25 of the 30 markets


February was therefore not a month of broad weakness in Japan’s used vehicle export sector. The declines in Malaysia and Bangladesh should be understood primarily through country-specific factors—including import permits, financing conditions, political timing, inventory adjustments, and local regulation.

The ranking also changes when measured by absolute unit growth rather than percentage growth. By volume, the two largest increases were Tanzania, at 10,169 units, and Russia, at 4,293 units. The largest absolute declines were Malaysia, at 4,885 units, and Cyprus, at 828 units.

Ireland’s second-place ranking by growth rate partly reflects its relatively small January base. Professional market analysis should therefore examine both percentage change and absolute unit change.


No. 1 Gainer: Tanzania

A Regional Logistics Market That Extends Beyond Domestic Demand

Tanzania’s exports increased from 8,542 units in January to 18,711 units in February.

This represents:

  • An increase of 10,169 units

  • Month-on-month growth of 119.0%

  • The largest increase in both percentage and absolute terms among the four markets analyzed

Tanzania’s Growth Cannot Be Explained by Domestic Demand Alone

Tanzania’s economic fundamentals have remained relatively supportive. The World Bank reported that the country’s GDP expanded by approximately 5.8% in the first half of 2025, supported by mining, construction, financial services, and export activity. Low inflation and improved foreign-exchange conditions also helped maintain macroeconomic stability.

However, Japanese exporters should not assume that all vehicles shipped to Tanzania are ultimately sold to Tanzanian consumers.

The Port of Dar es Salaam handles approximately 95% of Tanzania’s international trade and also serves several landlocked markets, including Zambia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Burundi, Rwanda, Malawi, Uganda, and Zimbabwe.

Tanzania should therefore be viewed as both:

  1. A domestic used vehicle market

  2. A logistics gateway to East and Central Africa

Part of the February increase may represent transit demand, regional redistribution, or shipment consolidation for inland destinations.

Political and Logistics Factors

Tanzania experienced serious political unrest surrounding the October 29, 2025 general election. African Union observers said the election did not comply with democratic principles and international standards, while protests and security restrictions disrupted normal activity in Dar es Salaam.

It is therefore possible that February’s sharp increase partly reflected:

  • The normalization of port and transport operations

  • Shipments delayed by previous disruption

  • Concentration of cargo into particular sailing schedules

  • Restocking by regional distributors

This is a commercial inference rather than a confirmed direct causal relationship. Monthly port and vessel-level data would be required to isolate the effect.

Regulatory Considerations for Tanzania

Used vehicles exported from Japan to Tanzania must be inspected and issued with a Certificate of Roadworthiness before export. The Tanzania Bureau of Standards specifically reminds importers that vehicles from Japan must complete this process before shipment.

This makes pre-purchase vehicle assessment critical. Inspection failure after a vehicle has already been acquired can result in:

  • Delayed shipment

  • Additional storage costs

  • Repair expenses

  • Missed vessel bookings

  • Reduced gross margin

Consultant’s Recommendation: Expand, but Control Inspection and Logistics Risk

Tanzania remains an attractive growth market, but exporters should separate customers into two commercial categories:

  • Vehicles intended for domestic Tanzanian sale

  • Vehicles moving through Tanzania to inland African markets

For transit business, quotations should include the full cost from the Japanese port to the final inland destination—not simply the cost to Dar es Salaam.

Exporters should also confirm:

  • Final destination

  • Border-clearance requirements

  • Inland transport cost

  • Roadworthiness inspection status

  • Payment and collection period

  • Responsibility for port storage and demurrage

Recommended market stance: Active expansion with strict pre-shipment and logistics controls.


No. 2 Gainer: Ireland

Japan Is Becoming a Strategic Right-Hand-Drive Supply Market

Exports to Ireland increased from 1,167 units in January to 2,174 units in February.

This represents:

  • An increase of 1,007 units

  • Month-on-month growth of 86.3%

  • Significant growth beyond a simple low-base effect

Ireland’s imported used car market also expanded more broadly. The Society of the Irish Motor Industry reported that 7,639 imported used cars were registered in February 2026, an increase of 36.5% from February 2025. January–February registrations were 40% higher year on year.

A Structural Shift from the United Kingdom to Japan

Japan and Ireland are both predominantly right-hand-drive markets. This makes Japanese vehicles commercially compatible with Irish road use.

Japan has also become increasingly important as an alternative to the United Kingdom. According to an analysis of Irish registration data, 26,942 Japan-sourced used vehicles were registered between January and September 2025, up 19.84% year on year. That compared with 9,790 vehicles sourced from the United Kingdom.

Japan therefore supplied approximately 2.75 times as many imported used vehicles as the United Kingdom during that period.

The change reflects more than temporary price differences. It indicates a structural shift in sourcing strategy driven by:

  • Right-hand-drive compatibility

  • Availability of well-maintained Japanese vehicles

  • Strong Japanese hybrid supply

  • Greater administrative and cost burdens associated with UK sourcing following Brexit

  • Demand for lower-emission vehicles

Taxation and Emissions Documentation Determine Profitability

Ireland is not a low-complexity export destination.

Vehicle Registration Tax, or VRT, is calculated using the vehicle’s Irish Open Market Selling Price and its CO₂ emissions. A separate nitrogen oxide levy is then added to determine the final VRT amount.

Evidence of NOx emissions must also be provided to complete registration. Failure to provide the required figure can lead to delays or a flat charge. Irish Revenue states that an official NOx figure for a Japanese import may be obtained from Japan’s Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism.

This means vehicle profitability depends not only on the Japanese purchase price but also on whether the exporter or importer can obtain reliable documentation for:

  • CO₂ emissions

  • NOx emissions

  • Chassis number

  • Production year

  • Model designation

  • Registration history

  • Technical specification

A vehicle bought cheaply in Japan may become uncompetitive in Ireland if emissions documentation is missing or its VRT burden is high.

Ireland’s Long-Term Electrification Policy

Ireland has set a policy objective of shifting approximately 30% of its private vehicle fleet to electric vehicles by 2030. Government incentives and tax measures are intended to support that transition.

The medium-term opportunity is therefore strongest in:

  • Low-CO₂ gasoline vehicles

  • Reliable Japanese hybrids

  • Plug-in hybrids with clear battery and emissions records

  • Electric vehicles with verifiable battery condition

  • Models with established parts and service support in Ireland

Consultant’s Recommendation: Expand Selectively

Ireland is a promising market, but the correct strategy is not to maximize volume indiscriminately.

Exporters should prioritize vehicles for which they can provide a complete technical-document package. Customer quotations should be based on estimated landed and registered cost, including:

  • FOB price

  • Ocean freight

  • Customs duty

  • VAT

  • VRT

  • NOx levy

  • Registration and inspection costs

Recommended market stance: Selective expansion focused on low-emission vehicles and documentation quality.


No. 1 Decliner: Malaysia

A Sharp Monthly Drop Does Not Necessarily Mean Market Collapse

Exports to Malaysia fell from 8,105 units in January to 3,220 units in February.

This represents:

  • A decline of 4,885 units

  • A month-on-month decrease of 60.3%

  • The largest decline in both percentage and absolute terms among the four markets

However, the monthly figure should not be interpreted in isolation.

January and February 2026 exports totaled 11,325 units, compared with 11,110 units during the same two months of 2025. The two-month total was therefore still approximately 1.9% higher year on year.

The February decline may consequently reflect:

  • An unusually strong January

  • Shipment timing

  • Inventory adjustment

  • Permit allocation

  • Concentration of purchases into higher-value vehicles

  • Changes in individual importer purchasing schedules

Higher FOB Prices Suggest More Selective Purchasing

Average FOB value increased from approximately JPY 4.597 million in January to JPY 4.969 million in February—an increase of about 8.1%.

Falling volume combined with a higher average FOB price suggests that importers may have shifted toward:

  • Higher-specification vehicles

  • Premium models

  • Vehicles with stronger resale value

  • Newer vehicles

  • Units capable of absorbing permit and tax costs

This pattern does not resemble a complete collapse in demand. It is more consistent with selective purchasing and inventory control.

Malaysia’s Approved Permit System

Malaysia’s used and reconditioned vehicle market is heavily influenced by the Approved Permit system.

The Ministry of Investment, Trade and Industry defines an Approved Permit as an import or export license intended to support orderly industrial development, safety, standards, environmental requirements, and policy monitoring.

Open APs cover used or reconditioned completely built-up vehicles between one and five years old. Open AP applications are also subject to pre-approval.

The market is therefore shaped not only by end-user demand but also by:

  • Permit availability

  • AP-holder inventory

  • Vehicle age

  • Importer allocation

  • Tax burden

  • Policy administration

Consultant’s Recommendation: Do Not Exit—Adjust Inventory and Product Mix

A single weak month is not sufficient evidence to withdraw from Malaysia.

Exporters should monitor:

  • AP availability by importer

  • Existing local inventory

  • Monthly retail turnover

  • Vehicle age at expected arrival

  • Average FOB value

  • Three-month moving averages

  • Payment performance by dealer

Vehicles approaching the upper age limit create additional risk. A delay in auction purchase, document preparation, vessel booking, or customs processing may reduce the remaining eligibility window.

Recommended market stance: Maintain the market while shifting toward higher-value, faster-turning vehicles.


No. 2 Decliner: Bangladesh

Political Transition and Banking-Sector Stress Are Restricting Demand

Exports to Bangladesh fell from 2,147 units in January to 1,504 units in February.

This represents:

  • A decline of 643 units

  • A month-on-month decrease of 29.9%

  • A more substantive weakness than Malaysia when viewed alongside financial conditions

Political Timing May Have Delayed Purchasing Decisions

Bangladesh held a general election on February 12, 2026, its first national vote following the political upheaval of 2024. The Bangladesh Nationalist Party won a landslide victory.

The direct effect of the election on used vehicle imports cannot be proven from monthly export data alone. However, election-related uncertainty may have encouraged importers to postpone:

  • Letter-of-credit applications

  • Foreign-currency commitments

  • New inventory purchases

  • Long-term dealer financing

  • High-value consumer transactions

Banking Conditions Are a More Serious Structural Constraint

The IMF reported that Bangladesh’s systemwide non-performing loan ratio had risen to 34% by the end of June 2025.

Private-sector credit growth was only 7.6% year on year and was negative in real terms. The IMF also identified banking-sector stress and election-related uncertainty as constraints on economic growth.

For the used vehicle industry, weak banking conditions can affect both sides of the transaction:

  • Importers may struggle to open or confirm letters of credit

  • Dealers may have less access to working capital

  • Consumers may find vehicle financing more difficult

  • Foreign-exchange approval may take longer

  • Payment risk may increase

In Bangladesh, demand should therefore be measured not only by customer inquiries or purchase intentions, but by the buyer’s ability to secure a bank-supported payment instrument.

Import Regulations for Bangladesh

According to JETRO, imported used vehicles must generally:

  • Be no more than five years old at the time of shipment

  • Be right-hand drive

  • Be imported directly from the country of origin

  • Meet applicable emissions and safety requirements

  • Obtain a pre-export inspection certificate from the Japan Auto Appraisal Institute

  • Have the required vehicle-age, model, and chassis information documented

Vehicles close to the five-year limit carry substantial operational risk. A vessel delay or document problem could affect eligibility.

Consultant’s Recommendation: Prioritize Credit Control Over Volume

Exporters should not purchase vehicles speculatively and then wait for the buyer to arrange financing.

The safer sequence is:

  1. Confirm the importer’s registration and eligibility

  2. Verify the bank and letter-of-credit conditions

  3. Confirm the vehicle’s age margin

  4. Acquire the vehicle

  5. Complete inspection and documentation

  6. Book shipment

Pricing should also account for:

  • Foreign-exchange volatility

  • Port storage

  • Documentation delays

  • Inspection costs

  • Amendment fees

  • The possibility of delayed L/C issuance

Recommended market stance: Cautious participation with bank and credit approval completed before inventory commitment.

Strategic Assessment of the Four Markets

Market

Recommended Position

Main Commercial Issue

Tanzania

Expand with controls

Domestic and regional transit demand; inspection, political, port, and inland-logistics risk

Ireland

Expand selectively

Structural sourcing shift toward Japan; emissions documentation and total registered cost

Malaysia

Maintain and premiumize

AP availability, shipment timing, inventory adjustment, and vehicle age

Bangladesh

Proceed cautiously

Banking-sector weakness, L/C availability, foreign exchange, and age eligibility

Conclusion

Data Analyst’s Conclusion

February was a strong month for the 30 markets in the dataset. Total export volume increased by 23.0%, and 25 markets recorded month-on-month growth.

The declines in Malaysia and Bangladesh should not be interpreted as evidence of a universal contraction in global used vehicle demand.

Used Vehicle Export Consultant’s Conclusion

Future profitability will increasingly depend on pre-export compliance and transaction structure.

The key requirements differ by market:

  • Tanzania: pre-shipment inspection and regional logistics

  • Ireland: CO₂ and NOx documentation

  • Malaysia: Approved Permits and vehicle-age control

  • Bangladesh: letters of credit, bank risk, and age eligibility

The exporter that manages these conditions before purchasing inventory will have a significant advantage over one that competes solely on FOB price.

Editorial Conclusion

February 2026 was not simply a month in which some countries bought more Japanese used vehicles and others bought fewer.

Tanzania and Ireland reflected two different forms of structural growth:

  • Expansion of a regional African logistics corridor

  • A shift in European right-hand-drive sourcing toward Japan

Malaysia and Bangladesh, meanwhile, demonstrated how permit administration, inventory timing, political events, banking conditions, and foreign-exchange access can override apparent consumer demand.

The next growth market in Japan’s used vehicle export industry will not be identified through shipment rankings alone. Exporters must analyze ports, payment systems, taxes, vehicle-age rules, emissions documentation, political schedules, and local inventory as parts of a single profitability model.

Region

国名

Country name

1月

2月

Asia

アラブ首長国連邦

UAE

35,778

18,023

Africa

タンザニア

Tanzania

27,253

18,711

Europe

ロシア

RUSSIA

26,681

15,487

South America

チリ

CHILE

14,425

7,256

Oceania

ニュージーランド

NEW ZEALAND

12,666

7,039

Africa

ケニア

KENYA

9,998

6,182

Africa

南アフリカ共和国

SOUTH AFRICA

10,249

5,749

Asia

スリランカ

SLILANKA

10,518

5,382

Asia

モンゴル

Mongolia

9,698

4,991

Asia

マレーシア

MALYSIA

11,325

3,220

Asia

タイ

Thailand

6,682

3,910

Europe

キプロス

CYPLUS

6,296

2,734

Asia

フィリピン

PHILIPPINE

5,627

2,947

Europe

英国

United Kingdom

4,838

3,076

Africa

ウガンダ

Uganda

4,190

2,723

South America

ガイアナ

Guyana

4,215

2,306

Africa

ガーナ

Ghana

3,993

2,337

Africa

ザンビア

Zambia

3,598

2,220

North America

ジャマイカ

JAMAICA

3,506

2,255

Europe

アイルランド

Ireland

3,341

2,174

Asia

バングラデシュ

BANGLADESH

3,651

1,504

Africa

コンゴ民主共和国

Democratic Republic of the Congo

2,900

1,798

Oceania

オーストラリア

AUSTRALIA

3,133

1,533

Africa

ナイジェリア

Nigeria

2,803

1,604

Africa

ジンバブエ

Zimbabwe

2,481

1,567

Asia

ジョージア

Georgia

2,773

1,355

North America

アメリカ合衆国

United states of america

2,167

1,271

Africa

モザンビーク

Mozambique

2,200

1,238

South America

スリナム

SRINUM

1,746

1,018

Asia

ミャンマー

Myanmar

1,501

918


 👉 Past Export Reports:


📚 過去の統計記事 / Past Monthly Reports:

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