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April 2025 Used-Car Export Snapshot: U.S. & Fiji Go on a Buying Spree, Myanmar & Jamaica Slam on the Brakes

  • fukada93
  • Jun 30
  • 5 min read

🌟 April 2025 Export Performance at a Glance


A month-on-month comparison of Japan’s used-car exports in April 2025 shows:

Country

MoM Change

United States

+57.1 %

Fiji

+46.4 %

Myanmar

-90.5 %

Jamaica

-51.7 %

Four structural forces explain the sharp divergences:

  1. Last-minute shipments ahead of a 25 % U.S. tariff

  2. Post-pandemic tourism rebound & green-tax cuts (Fiji)

  3. Left-hand-drive mandate & border disruption (Myanmar)

  4. PSI pre-shipment inspection + currency weakness (Jamaica)

Below we unpack each driver using local media and government sources.

4月の中古車輸出台数グラフ

3月から4月の増減割合

🎨 Winners & Laggards—Key Drivers, Local Insights


🏆 Market Winners in the Japan Used-Car Export April 2025 Race: U.S. & Fiji Surge Ahead

  • United States: +57.1 %

  • Fiji: +46.4 %


✖ Steepest Decliners

  • Myanmar: -90.5 %

  • Jamaica: -51.7 %


🔍 Why U.S. Imports Soared (+57.1 %)


1.Tariff-beat rush

  • Trump administration confirmed a 25 % tariff on imported passenger cars on 25 Mar 2025; enforcement started 03 Apr 2025 00:00.

  • Ports/forwarders alerted clients: cargo landed by 02 Apr cleared duty-free.

  • March U.S. retail auto sales rose +4.6 % YoY—analysts flagged “tariff-fear buying.”

  • Japan–US Ro-Ro transit (14-17 days) meant April customs entries spiked.


2. Dealer / OEM inventory buffering

  • CaseTake-awaySourceToyotaApril U.S. sales +8 % on “tariff rush”BloombergMercedesTold analysts it front-loaded U.S. stockReutersMarketQ1 U.S. auto sales +4.8 %, inventory “2-3 months cover”CarsCommerce


3. Used-car price pull

  • Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index up +2.7 % MoM / +4.9 % YoY.

  • Cox Automotive estimates new-car prices +4-8 % → spillover to used.

  • CPO sales: -5.9 % MoM but +11 % YoY—buyers pivot to certified used.


4. Macro tailwinds

  • Yen averaged ¥144/US$ in April (still weak vs Feb). Importers kept 3-4 % ROE cushion.

  • Blank sailings on Asia-US containers freed PCC capacity; extra sailings added.

  • USTR’s NTE report warns of consumer burden; bilateral talks revisit tariff on 09 Jul.


5. Looking ahead—action list

Checkpoint

Risk

Exporter Move

Tariff made permanent?

▲15-20 % volume drop

Ship extra lots before May-end; lock port slots

MUVVI > 210

Sourcing cost ↑

Prioritise CPO/lease-returns

USD > ¥150

Cost edge ↑

Hedge 6-month forwards; FOB margin keep

Ongoing blank sailings

Space tight

12-month minimum-roll contracts


🔍 Why Fiji’s Imports Jumped (+46.4 %)


  1. Raw numbers

    • Exports: 476 → 697 units (+46.4 %).

    • Visitors: 80,363 in April (+25.9 % MoM) – above pre-Covid.

    • 2024 Japan-car import value: US$60 m (+18 % YoY).


  2. Demand side—tourism & rentals

    • Fiji Bureau of Stats: visitor arrivals +4 % YoY, 3-month streak.

    • Rental majors bulk-buy hybrid sedans; ride-share & delivery drivers favour fuel-sippers.


  3. Policy—green tax breaks & age caps


Policy

Summary

Effect

EV/Hybrid 0 % VAT & duty (2022/23 budget)

Import VAT 9 %→0 %, duties slashed

FOB up to FJD 1,500 cheaper

“5-year hybrid rule”

From Jan 2024: hybrids ≥2019 MY; petrol ≥2017 MY

Dealers pre-import 2019-23 hybrids

Old ICE surcharge

Extra FJD 1,000 on pre-rule ICE

Shift toward small hybrids


4. Supply side—shipping & FX

  • Swire’s Pacific Weekly Express + ad-hoc PCC sailings; 14-17 day lead-time enables April clearances.

  • April FJD/JPY ≈ 65 (≈ 3 % weaker yen YoY); 0 % VAT boosts cash flow.


5. Dealer playbook

  • Zero-down 48-60 month loans (~600 FJD/mo).

  • Rentals chase 3-4 yo Prius/Aqua CPO for fuel & maintenance savings.


Bottom line: A triple cocktail of tourism rebound × green tax × pre-emptive stocking. Watch VAT hikes & space shortages, but high-efficiency Japanese hybrids will stay king.


🔍 Why Myanmar’s Imports Collapsed (-90.5 %)


  1. Numbers: 2,099 → 200 units – steepest fall among major destinations. No right-hand-drive (RHD) import permits issued in April.


  2. Policy squeeze

    • 2025 import guidelines: only 2024/25 MY left-hand-drive vehicles allowed.

    • June order: EV/SKD duty cut to 0-3 %, plus new eco levy on ICE.


  3. Logistics choke

Route

Issue

Impact

Myawaddy–Karen

Sporadic highway closures since Dec 2023

Weeks-long delays

Mae Hong Son

24 Jun 2025: hundreds of cars seized

Higher customs risk & insurance

  1. Currency & FX control

    • MMK 2,098/US$ (-23 % YoY); L/C issuance stalls.

    • CBM shifts duties to weekly market rates; tightens USD payment rules.


  1. Sanctions & credit crunch

    • OFAC broadened Burma sanctions (Nov 2024); insurers hiked premiums +30 %.


  2. Market reactions

    • Yangon’s Saya San Road stock down to 20 % of normal; RHD prices +35 % YoY.

    • Left-hand Chinese EVs appear at ~+15 % over Guangzhou prices.


Summary: Policy bans × border chaos × FX lockdown × sanctions = demand evaporated. Pivot to LHD hybrids/EVs and alternative routes; hedge FX and diversify financing.

🔍 Why Jamaica’s Imports Plunged (-51.7 %)


  1. Import caps & new-car incentives

    • Nov 2024: tighter rules; >5-year cars face extra duty, most models must be ≥2018 MY.

    • Bond for new-car dealers slashed 100 %→20 %, making new cars price-competitive.


  2. PSI inspection & currency hit

    • PSI certificate mandatory from 01 Jul 2025; adds ≈US$150 per unit plus delays.

    • J$165/US$ in April—import costs soar; yen-linked purchases exposed to FX swings.


  3. Weak demand & overstock

    • New-car incentives shrink used-car price gap; low-end demand dries up.

    • Dealers face slow sales + rising inventory; cash-flow stress escalates.


  4. Macro import slowdown

    • Nationwide imports down -3.4 % YoY to Oct 2024; energy & materials drag, spilling into autos.


Takeaway: Overlapping import curbs, PSI fees, FX pain, and pro-new-car policy slashed Japanese used-car inflows. Exporters need agile inventory, FX hedging, and possible market diversification.



Final Thoughts


April’s export ledger reveals tariff-fuelled surges (U.S.), tourism-driven booms (Fiji), and policy-induced collapses (Myanmar, Jamaica). For exporters, real-time monitoring of regulations, currency trends, and shipping capacity remains mission-critical for the rest of 2025.

国名

Country name

3月

4月

増減割合

ロシア

RUSSIA

15,083

16,157

7.1%

アラブ首長国連邦

UAE

24,037

26,148

8.8%

モンゴル

Mongolia

9,342

8,379

-10.3%

タンザニア

Tanzania

8,854

8,078

-8.8%

ニュージーランド

NEW ZEALAND

6,942

7,286

5.0%

バングラデシュ

BANGLADESH

2,338

1,644

-29.7%

フィリピン

PHILIPPINE

4,086

3,632

-11.1%

タイ

Thailand

4,578

4,547

-0.7%

ケニア

KENYA

5,585

6,039

8.1%

ジャマイカ

JAMAICA

3,562

1,722

-51.7%

南アフリカ共和国

SOUTH AFRICA

5,507

5,826

5.8%

マレーシア

MALYSIA

4,627

3,293

-28.8%

チリ

CHILE

8,077

7,331

-9.2%

ウガンダ

Uganda

4,089

3,873

-5.3%

オーストラリア

AUSTRALIA

1,666

1,444

-13.3%

ザンビア

Zambia

1,531

1,452

-5.2%

英国

United Kingdom

1,775

1,885

6.2%

アメリカ合衆国

United states of america

1,024

1,609

57.1%

モザンビーク

Mozambique

1,861

1,457

-21.7%

ガイアナ

Guyana

1,758

2,147

22.1%

コンゴ民主共和国

Democratic Republic of the Congo

1,301

1,141

-12.3%

アイルランド

Ireland

1,130

1,129

-0.1%

ミャンマー

Myanmar

2,099

200

-90.5%

ナイジェリア

Nigeria

2,389

2,541

6.4%

ジョージア

Georgia

1,345

1,410

4.8%

フィジー

Fiji

476

697

46.4%

ガーナ

Ghana

1,858

1,868

0.5%

シンガポール

SINGAPORE

345

383

11.0%

ジンバブエ

Zimbabwe

1,038

1,044

0.6%

バハマ

Bahamas

806

552

-31.5%


Thank you for your continued support of Japan Carrier.


The Japan Carrier Team

 

 

👉 Past Export Reports:


📚 過去の統計記事 / Past Monthly Reports:

📊 長期統計データ / Long-Term Reports:




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